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Red110
452244.4
815914.4
857524.1
Blue162
250231.9
157446.6
62455.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7813750100150200110162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#20
44.41.4
48.149.5
Auto11.2
Teleop19.6
End13.6
blue by 11.3
624
#4
55.82.2
51.253.4
Auto12.9
Teleop33.6
End9.3
Second
8575
#48
24.11.4
22.323.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End3.8
blue by 22.5
1574
#19
46.62.2
41.043.1
Auto12.3
Teleop23.6
End10.7
Third
8159
#53
14.41.4
10.411.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End4.4
blue by 17.5
2502
#36
31.92.2
29.231.4
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned