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Red87
870115.0
492633.7
52535.1
Blue83
491151.9
459211.0
379411.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90730501001508783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#29
35.10.3
33.033.3
Auto7.6
Teleop17.3
End10.1
blue by 16.8
51.90.3
49.549.8
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End9.8
Second
4926
#30
33.70.3
36.236.5
Auto8.6
Teleop15.6
End9.5
red by 22.3
3794
#68
11.40.3
11.011.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Third
8701
#38
15.00.3
13.213.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End6.5
red by 4.0
4592
#67
11.00.3
9.810.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned