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Red84
244332.6
353846.3
290512.7
Blue64
731510.1
288333.4
803712.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1145501001502008464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#39
46.31.3
52.050.7
Auto10.3
Teleop29.5
End6.6
red by 12.9
2883
#27
33.40.1
32.432.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End8.6
Second
2443
#37
32.61.3
35.734.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End11.7
red by 20.1
8037
#74
12.50.1
16.116.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End3.7
Third
2905
#65
12.71.3
11.910.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End5.0
red by 2.6
7315
#62
10.10.1
10.510.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed