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Red128
133949.0
442128.9
761733.3
Blue115
18049.5
115616.7
180736.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118110406080100140160180128115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.0
47.748.7
Auto13.5
Teleop23.8
End11.6
blue by 0.6
180
#21
49.50.4
50.751.2
Auto12.7
Teleop30.2
End6.6
Second
7617
#49
33.31.0
31.232.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End5.7
blue by 3.0
1807
#64
36.30.4
35.335.7
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.5
Third
4421
#60
28.91.0
30.731.7
Auto8.5
Teleop9.1
End11.4
red by 12.3
1156
#69
16.70.4
18.518.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned