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Red143
14853.9
220242.9
873915.7
Blue151
521633.1
347844.4
30242.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141168090100110120130140150143151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#26
53.92.0
51.353.3
Auto14.9
Teleop29.9
End9.1
red by 9.5
44.42.9
38.941.8
Auto10.4
Teleop28.7
End5.3
Second
2202
#40
42.92.0
42.244.2
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
red by 0.9
302
#22
42.02.9
37.940.8
Auto8.5
Teleop24.5
End9.0
Third
8739
#75
15.72.0
15.117.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
blue by 17.4
5216
#54
33.12.9
30.933.8
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned