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Red41
320616.3
96718.0
176430.3
Blue63
421332.1
73096.4
784816.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675640801004163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.4
29.127.7
Auto11.5
Teleop7.3
End11.5
blue by 1.8
32.10.6
29.930.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End13.5
Second
967
#17
18.01.4
18.116.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End5.8
red by 1.9
7848
#27
16.10.6
15.616.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Third
3206
#13
16.32.3
14.512.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
red by 10.0
7309
#38
6.41.0
8.69.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned