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Red42
29579.5
591414.4
464622.5
Blue38
485910.0
877011.8
310218.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574220801001204238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.0
21.220.2
Auto10.1
Teleop8.6
End3.9
red by 4.3
3102
#26
18.30.2
19.118.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
14.41.0
15.914.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.2
red by 2.6
8770
#30
11.80.4
10.710.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End4.3
Third
2957
#25
9.51.0
14.213.2
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.6
blue by 0.5
4859
#41
10.00.2
11.611.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed