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Red60
16721.9
583716.2
527515.5
Blue55
753116.2
392819.4
593510.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564420801006055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#11
21.90.3
24.324.6
Auto7.5
Teleop7.0
End7.4
red by 2.5
3928
#18
19.41.3
18.820.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Second
16.20.6
13.914.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
Level
7531
#23
16.21.3
17.118.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End5.2
Third
5275
#15
15.50.6
12.813.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.6
End3.8
red by 5.3
5935
#33
10.21.3
7.38.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned