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Red48
641916.1
64557.3
504115.6
Blue61
642420.3
42607.0
754127.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3450102040607080904861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6419
#19
16.10.3
11.711.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.1
blue by 11.8
27.91.8
19.921.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End9.3
Second
5041
#29
15.60.3
11.211.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End4.6
blue by 4.7
6424
#20
20.31.1
20.821.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End4.9
Third
6455
#37
7.30.3
10.811.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.4
red by 0.4
4260
#39
7.01.8
4.15.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned