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Red56
631710.2
421332.1
485910.0
Blue32
88214.2
641916.1
753116.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532504060801005632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.4
26.927.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End13.5
red by 15.9
7531
#23
16.20.1
8.78.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End5.2
Second
6317
#32
10.20.7
9.510.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End0.8
blue by 5.9
6419
#19
16.10.1
10.110.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Third
4859
#41
10.00.5
9.710.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End3.3
red by 5.8
8821
#45
4.24.1
4.28.3
Auto1.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed