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Red30
402113.9
52523.0
557610.5
Blue7
88246.7
802416.9
593510.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41250206080307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#8
23.00.7
15.114.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End4.3
red by 6.0
8024
#14
16.92.1
7.75.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End10.2
Second
4021
#16
13.90.7
10.19.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.9
End5.3
red by 3.7
5935
#33
10.22.1
9.67.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Third
5576
#35
10.50.7
11.410.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.2
red by 3.8
8824
#43
6.70.6
6.76.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed