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Red53
328417.7
642420.3
641916.1
Blue41
784816.1
527515.5
642016.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574420801005341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#20
20.30.1
21.221.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End4.9
red by 4.0
6420
#28
16.30.2
12.612.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Second
17.70.1
17.417.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End0.8
red by 1.6
7848
#27
16.10.1
15.915.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Third
6419
#19
16.10.1
13.213.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.1
red by 0.6
5275
#15
15.50.2
14.614.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed