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Red37
87377.9
802416.9
877011.8
Blue55
310218.3
753116.2
16721.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26710204060801003755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8024
#14
16.90.7
14.615.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.0
End10.2
blue by 5.0
167
#11
21.90.4
24.323.9
Auto7.5
Teleop7.0
End7.4
Second
8770
#30
11.80.7
9.810.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End4.3
blue by 6.5
3102
#26
18.30.4
18.317.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
8737
#34
7.90.7
5.86.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End2.8
blue by 8.2
7531
#23
16.20.6
18.317.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsMissed