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Red19
88246.7
87665.8
88225.5
Blue53
680513.7
504115.6
266714.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19310104050601953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8824
#43
6.70.4
6.05.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End0.3
blue by 8.9
5041
#29
15.62.6
10.212.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End4.6
Second
8766
#42
5.80.4
7.36.9
Auto0.5
Teleop1.2
End4.1
blue by 8.3
2667
#21
14.22.6
7.810.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End6.0
Third
8822
#40
5.50.4
5.75.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End0.9
blue by 8.2
6805
#24
13.72.6
9.712.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsEarned