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Red50
328417.7
784816.1
310218.3
Blue44
402113.9
642420.3
485910.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56472040801005044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#26
18.30.1
17.917.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 2.0
6424
#20
20.30.4
21.320.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End4.9
Second
17.70.1
17.417.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End0.8
red by 3.8
4021
#16
13.90.5
14.313.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.9
End5.3
Third
7848
#27
16.10.1
15.715.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End5.1
red by 6.0
4859
#41
10.00.4
9.79.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed