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Red60
464622.5
527515.5
877011.8
Blue54
52523.0
50069.1
320616.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484940455560656054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.4
20.321.7
Auto10.1
Teleop8.6
End3.9
blue by 0.4
525
#8
23.00.4
22.322.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Second
5275
#15
15.51.4
14.415.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.6
End3.8
blue by 0.9
3206
#13
16.30.4
14.815.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Third
8770
#30
11.81.4
10.511.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End4.3
red by 2.7
5006
#36
9.10.4
9.19.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed