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Red70
583716.2
254917.7
621719.0
Blue37
16721.9
29579.5
641916.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50532030406070807037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6217
#10
19.01.3
17.518.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End6.7
blue by 2.9
167
#11
21.91.1
23.922.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.0
End7.4
Second
2549
#12
17.71.8
17.119.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6
red by 1.6
6419
#19
16.11.6
13.411.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Third
16.21.8
12.314.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
red by 6.7
2957
#25
9.51.6
12.010.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsMissed