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Red62
593510.2
176430.3
680513.7
Blue50
302616.5
87665.8
754127.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49504555606250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.1
26.627.6
Auto11.5
Teleop7.3
End11.5
red by 2.4
27.90.3
25.125.5
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End9.3
Second
6805
#24
13.71.5
12.413.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 2.8
3026
#22
16.50.3
14.514.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End6.4
Third
5935
#33
10.21.5
7.18.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 4.4
8766
#42
5.80.3
6.97.2
Auto0.5
Teleop1.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsMissed