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Red44
252619.8
87377.9
631710.2
Blue31
87665.8
29579.5
527515.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403101020506070804431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.2
18.919.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End5.7
red by 4.4
5275
#15
15.50.0
15.415.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.6
End3.8
Second
6317
#32
10.20.3
10.110.4
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End0.8
red by 0.7
2957
#25
9.50.0
9.29.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.6
Third
8737
#34
7.90.3
7.77.9
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End2.8
red by 2.1
8766
#42
5.80.0
5.85.8
Auto0.5
Teleop1.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed