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Red45
557610.5
16721.9
328417.7
Blue69
421332.1
642420.3
88225.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54622040801004569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#11
21.90.4
22.121.6
Auto7.5
Teleop7.0
End7.4
blue by 10.2
32.10.2
31.932.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End13.5
Second
17.70.4
18.317.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End0.8
blue by 2.6
6424
#20
20.30.2
20.220.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End4.9
Third
5576
#35
10.50.5
11.010.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.2
red by 5.0
8822
#40
5.50.3
5.25.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned