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Red50
583716.2
464622.5
88246.7
Blue44
73096.4
176430.3
88214.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474402060801001201405044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.5
22.122.6
Auto10.1
Teleop8.6
End3.9
blue by 7.8
30.30.4
30.029.6
Auto11.5
Teleop7.3
End11.5
Second
16.20.5
15.415.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
red by 9.8
7309
#38
6.40.4
6.86.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Third
8824
#43
6.70.5
6.26.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End0.3
red by 2.5
8821
#45
4.20.4
4.64.2
Auto1.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed