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Red55
310218.3
320616.3
591414.4
Blue64
266714.2
52523.0
641916.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50533040607080905564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#26
18.30.5
17.818.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 4.7
525
#8
23.01.2
21.822.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Second
3206
#13
16.30.6
15.516.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
red by 0.3
6419
#19
16.11.2
14.916.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Third
14.40.6
13.914.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.2
red by 0.3
2667
#21
14.21.2
13.014.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned48%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned