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Red22
593510.2
67323.6
631710.2
Blue35
784816.1
64557.3
877011.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244001020305060702235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5935
#33
10.20.2
10.410.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 5.8
7848
#27
16.10.0
16.216.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Second
6317
#32
10.20.2
10.410.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End0.8
blue by 1.6
8770
#30
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End4.3
Third
6732
#44
3.60.2
3.83.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End-0.3
blue by 3.8
6455
#37
7.30.0
7.47.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
2%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed