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Red62
15664.9
300611.1
603640.2
Blue84
213012.4
212241.9
546113.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435102060801001201406284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.8
22.523.3
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End7.1
blue by 1.7
41.92.5
30.032.5
Auto10.9
Teleop20.7
End10.3
Second
3006
#11
11.11.4
9.510.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End4.9
blue by 1.8
5461
#15
13.04.1
5.49.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Third
1566
#26
4.91.4
9.310.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 7.5
2130
#18
12.44.1
11.715.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsEarned