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Red74
259410.8
85466.6
442128.0
Blue41
635812.8
156923.5
85508.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34360102030405060707441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.02.5
17.219.7
Auto8.5
Teleop7.9
End11.5
red by 4.6
23.50.8
14.315.1
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End7.4
Second
2594
#27
10.84.2
11.315.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End4.0
blue by 2.0
6358
#20
12.80.8
12.012.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End4.3
Third
8546
#19
6.64.2
4.08.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
blue by 2.0
8550
#24
8.60.8
7.28.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsMissed