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Red44
85508.6
213012.4
442128.0
Blue77
417518.4
189122.2
228816.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464901001502002503003504004477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.0
20.520.5
Auto8.5
Teleop7.9
End11.5
red by 5.8
22.22.1
17.519.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End10.0
Second
2130
#18
12.40.1
14.914.9
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End8.4
blue by 6.0
4175
#13
18.43.5
11.414.9
Auto7.0
Teleop3.2
End8.3
Third
8550
#24
8.60.1
8.28.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 7.6
16.22.1
16.718.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned