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Red99
11428.2
212241.9
299315.5
Blue22
459811.3
635812.8
259410.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions922404060801001201409922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.4
33.534.9
Auto10.9
Teleop20.7
End10.3
red by 29.1
6358
#20
12.81.4
10.59.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End4.3
Second
114
#4
28.21.4
32.333.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End12.0
red by 16.9
4598
#12
11.31.4
6.55.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End4.0
Third
15.52.4
11.914.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End8.2
red by 4.7
2594
#27
10.81.4
13.812.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed