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Quarterfinal 3-12022 Midwest Regional
Red82
245140.7
173243.7
202210.5
Blue50
235830.1
178131.2
414521.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112874060801001201401608250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#2
43.70.4
46.8→46.4
Auto12.9
Teleop22.7
End8.1
red by 12.6
1781
#10
31.20.8
32.1→31.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End10.1
Second
2451
#3
40.70.4
43.8→43.4
Auto13.3
Teleop21.4
End6.0
red by 10.7
2358
#14
30.10.8
30.9→30.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End12.6
Third
2022
#34
10.50.4
11.3→10.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End4.0
blue by 10.7
4145
#19
21.20.8
22.1→21.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End8.4