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Semifinal 2-32022 Midwest Regional
Red86
245140.7
173243.7
348819.5
Blue77
4827.6
306136.4
206215.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208040601001401601808677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#2
43.70.5
44.8→44.3
Auto12.9
Teleop22.7
End8.1
red by 7.4
3061
#5
36.40.1
36.4→36.4
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End9.8
Second
2451
#3
40.70.5
41.8→41.3
Auto13.3
Teleop21.4
End6.0
red by 13.1
48
#12
27.60.1
27.7→27.6
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End4.7
Third
3488
#15
19.50.6
20.9→20.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End6.6
red by 3.8
2062
#31
15.70.1
15.8→15.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End5.0