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Red54
245140.7
173243.7
348819.5
Blue101
4827.6
306136.4
206215.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12579406010014016018054101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.3
46.144.8
Auto12.9
Teleop22.7
End8.1
red by 7.4
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End9.8
Second
40.71.3
43.141.8
Auto13.3
Teleop21.4
End6.0
red by 13.1
48
#12
27.60.0
27.727.7
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End4.7
Third
3488
#15
19.51.7
22.620.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End6.6
red by 3.8
2062
#31
15.70.0
15.815.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End5.0