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Qual 182022 Midwest Regional
Red103
409620.3
306136.4
638127.7
Blue34
746021.8
42417.8
888015.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7239020608010012014010334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#5
36.42.3
27.6→29.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End9.8
red by 14.6
7460
#6Sur
21.80.5
21.4→20.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End8.4
Second
6381
#9
27.72.3
24.7→27.0
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 12.3
8880
#39
15.40.8
13.4→12.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End3.5
Third
4096
#11Sur
20.32.3
11.5→13.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.7
red by 12.6
4241
#43
7.80.5
6.3→5.8
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsMissed