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Red59
88689.8
306712.5
283030.0
Blue74
812217.5
233840.5
72379.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46690204060801001205974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#18
30.00.8
27.428.3
Auto10.0
Teleop16.1
End3.9
blue by 10.5
40.50.8
36.337.1
Auto11.4
Teleop15.2
End13.9
Second
3067
#25
12.50.8
11.111.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
blue by 5.0
8122
#23
17.50.8
17.418.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Third
8868
#36
9.81.4
7.89.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 0.7
7237
#42
9.10.8
8.18.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned