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Red61
202210.5
222021.7
584728.8
Blue70
306136.4
665114.8
178131.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65704060801001206170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.7
24.724.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End12.0
blue by 7.5
36.40.3
25.425.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End9.8
Second
2220
#24
21.70.6
24.323.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End9.4
blue by 9.5
1781
#10
31.20.3
27.227.5
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End10.1
Third
2022
#34
10.50.6
12.612.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End4.0
blue by 4.3
6651
#30
14.80.4
12.312.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned