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Red19
206215.7
464510.8
72379.1
Blue74
638127.7
348819.5
369523.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386420801001201974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#31
15.71.3
14.312.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End5.0
blue by 12.0
27.71.2
23.324.5
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Second
4645
#38
10.81.5
14.613.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End4.3
blue by 12.5
3695
#17
23.31.3
21.923.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End8.5
Third
7237
#42
9.11.3
10.18.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End3.0
blue by 10.4
3488
#15
19.51.9
11.513.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsEarned