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Qual 602022 Midwest Regional
Red68
369523.3
306136.4
429210.4
Blue90
809610.9
414521.2
245140.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69820501001502006890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#5
36.40.2
33.8→33.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End9.8
blue by 4.4
2451
#3
40.71.0
42.2→43.2
Auto13.3
Teleop21.4
End6.0
Second
3695
#17
23.30.2
22.0→21.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End8.5
red by 2.1
4145
#19
21.21.0
21.3→22.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End8.4
Third
4292
#29
10.40.3
10.9→10.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End5.6
blue by 0.6
8096
#37
10.91.0
12.2→13.1
Auto5.3
Teleop2.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned