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Red50
478710.9
348819.5
555314.0
Blue33
88689.8
67713.3
512512.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060805033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3488
#15
19.50.1
19.018.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End6.6
red by 6.2
677
#40
13.30.2
13.513.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Second
5553
#28
14.00.1
14.013.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.6
red by 1.7
5125
#32
12.30.2
12.912.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End3.8
Third
4787
#16
10.90.1
10.210.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End3.6
red by 1.1
8868
#36
9.80.4
6.15.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed