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Red29
64811.4
173617.3
665112.3
Blue75
70617.0
450022.4
306122.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45510204060801001202975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#18
17.31.6
19.217.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 5.5
22.82.6
14.717.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.0
End4.6
Second
6651
#31
12.31.6
11.49.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 10.0
4500
#17
22.42.6
13.816.5
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End4.7
Third
648
#30Sur
11.41.6
12.911.3
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End2.0
blue by 5.6
706
#15Sur
17.02.6
18.821.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned