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Red70
203913.8
710326.1
278318.2
Blue45
42416.7
464514.6
245131.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374502060807045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.13.8
14.218.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End3.1
blue by 4.9
31.00.4
21.822.2
Auto14.1
Teleop13.2
End3.8
Second
2783
#20
18.23.8
11.415.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.4
red by 3.6
4645
#26
14.60.4
9.810.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End4.7
Third
2039
#29
13.83.8
10.314.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End0.5
red by 7.0
4241
#34
6.70.4
9.810.2
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed