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Red58
414327.6
369521.9
812213.4
Blue54
33815.3
171612.9
421326.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523802060801005854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#10
27.61.2
16.217.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End7.5
red by 0.7
26.91.9
15.917.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End10.3
Second
21.91.2
16.717.9
Auto6.8
Teleop9.0
End6.1
red by 9.0
1716
#35
12.91.9
11.613.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Third
8122
#22
13.41.2
14.115.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.4
red by 8.1
3381
#38
5.31.9
9.711.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned