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Red42
178123.5
582215.8
270411.4
Blue44
761914.3
80298.5
453115.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50280204060801004244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#14
23.50.2
18.718.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
red by 7.6
4531
#19
15.91.6
10.412.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End6.9
Second
5822
#23
15.80.2
15.315.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End5.7
red by 1.5
7619
#21
14.31.6
7.79.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Third
2704
#28
11.40.2
10.19.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.5
red by 2.9
8029
#33
8.51.6
11.212.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed