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Red89
175642.0
30679.2
582215.8
Blue83
369521.9
710326.1
450022.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646340801008983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.02.9
35.138.0
Auto8.6
Teleop27.4
End6.0
red by 15.9
26.12.6
19.922.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
5822
#23
15.82.9
13.216.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End5.7
blue by 6.5
4500
#17
22.42.6
21.824.3
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End4.7
Third
3067
#32
9.22.9
10.813.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End-0.0
blue by 12.6
21.92.6
18.020.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsEarned