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Red39
741715.0
235819.5
464514.6
Blue58
245131.0
204016.8
761914.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4648303540505560653958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2358
#16
19.50.9
20.119.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End9.4
blue by 11.5
31.01.5
26.027.4
Auto14.1
Teleop13.2
End3.8
Second
7417
#11
15.00.9
12.411.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End5.7
blue by 1.8
2040
#13
16.81.5
8.19.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Third
4645
#26
14.60.9
11.110.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End4.7
red by 0.3
7619
#21
14.31.5
10.612.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed