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Red69
80969.6
665112.3
233835.4
Blue44
421326.9
278318.2
409612.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525430406070806944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.42.2
27.629.7
Auto12.1
Teleop10.1
End13.2
red by 8.5
26.90.7
18.717.9
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End10.3
Second
6651
#31
12.32.2
10.813.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 5.9
2783
#20
18.20.7
20.419.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Third
8096
#36
9.62.2
11.013.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 3.1
4096
#27
12.70.7
11.610.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned