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Qual 382022 Central Illinois Regional
Red74
453115.9
233835.4
741715.0
Blue85
173617.3
245131.0
421326.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596730405080901007485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#4
35.41.5
29.7→31.3
Auto12.1
Teleop10.1
End13.2
red by 4.4
2451
#5
31.02.6
27.4→30.0
Auto14.1
Teleop13.2
End3.8
Second
4531
#19
15.91.5
15.0→16.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End6.9
blue by 11.0
4213
#8
26.92.6
17.9→20.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End10.3
Third
7417
#11
15.01.5
11.4→13.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End5.7
blue by 2.3
1736
#18
17.32.6
16.2→18.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned