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Red42
70617.0
278318.2
42416.7
Blue63
80298.5
11144.6
270411.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5367204060801004263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#20
18.22.0
17.315.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.4
blue by 26.4
111
#1
44.60.2
39.239.4
Auto14.6
Teleop16.8
End13.1
Second
706
#15
17.02.0
22.120.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End10.8
red by 5.6
2704
#28
11.40.2
10.510.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.5
Third
4241
#34
6.72.0
12.310.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End3.6
blue by 1.7
8029
#33
8.50.2
11.511.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsMissed