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Red62
80969.6
203913.8
409612.7
Blue77
761914.3
414327.6
178123.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326102040801006277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#29
13.82.7
14.016.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 13.8
4143
#10
27.62.1
23.725.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End7.5
Second
4096
#27
12.72.7
9.111.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End3.5
blue by 10.7
1781
#14
23.52.1
19.721.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Third
8096
#36
9.62.7
10.813.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 4.7
7619
#21
14.32.1
10.412.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned