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Red59
64811.4
270411.4
248137.0
Blue70
175642.0
409612.7
173617.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6076401001205970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.1
35.335.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End9.8
blue by 5.1
42.00.1
39.039.1
Auto8.6
Teleop27.4
End6.0
Second
648
#30
11.40.1
12.412.5
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End2.0
blue by 5.9
1736
#18
17.30.1
18.618.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Third
2704
#28
11.40.1
10.710.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.5
blue by 1.3
4096
#27
12.70.1
11.811.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsMissed