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Red49
30679.2
80969.6
421326.9
Blue86
464514.6
11144.6
784814.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5472204060801004986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.8
25.424.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End10.3
blue by 17.7
111
#1
44.62.2
39.441.6
Auto14.6
Teleop16.8
End13.1
Second
8096
#36
9.60.8
13.512.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 5.0
4645
#26
14.62.2
12.815.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End4.7
Third
3067
#32
9.20.8
13.712.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End-0.0
blue by 4.8
7848
#25
14.12.2
12.614.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned