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Red33
450022.4
203913.8
665112.3
Blue66
812213.4
741715.0
278318.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584320801003366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#17
22.42.0
23.521.5
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End4.7
red by 4.2
2783
#20
18.22.0
15.317.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Second
2039
#29
13.82.0
16.614.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 1.2
7417
#11
15.02.0
14.516.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End5.7
Third
6651
#31
12.32.0
12.210.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 1.0
8122
#22
13.42.0
12.714.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned