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Qual 72022 Central Illinois Regional
Red89
162515.5
64811.4
11144.6
Blue39
203913.8
369521.9
235819.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483602060801008939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
44.64.1
16.0→20.1
Auto14.6
Teleop16.8
End13.1
red by 22.7
3695
#9
21.90.4
12.0→12.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.0
End6.1
Second
1625
#24
15.54.1
19.1→23.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 4.1
2358
#16
19.50.4
13.7→14.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End9.4
Third
648
#30
11.44.1
8.7→12.9
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End2.0
blue by 2.4
2039
#29
13.80.4
9.9→10.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned